Grocery Outlet Updates Q4 2025 Earnings Guidance and Analyst Ratings

Grocery Outlet (NASDAQ:GO) announced its earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, projecting earnings per share (EPS) between $0.21 and $0.21. This forecast slightly exceeds the consensus EPS estimate of $0.20. The company has not yet provided specific revenue guidance for the upcoming quarter.

Analysts have been actively reassessing their ratings and price targets for Grocery Outlet. On August 6, 2023, Craig Hallum upgraded the stock from a “hold” to a “buy” rating, setting a price target of $17.00. Morgan Stanley also upgraded its rating, moving from “underweight” to “equal weight” and increasing its price target from $13.00 to $16.00. Conversely, DA Davidson reduced its price target from $16.00 to $15.00, maintaining a “neutral” rating. Bank of America similarly cut its price objective from $19.00 to $16.00 and retained a “neutral” rating.

As of the latest evaluations, the stock has received three “buy” ratings, eight “hold” ratings, and two “sell” ratings. According to MarketBeat.com, the average rating stands at “hold,” with a consensus price target of $15.73.

Recent Earnings Performance

Grocery Outlet’s latest quarterly earnings report, released on November 4, 2023, revealed an EPS of $0.21, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.19 by $0.02. The company reported revenue of $1.17 billion, slightly below analysts’ expectations of $1.18 billion. The firm experienced a negative net margin of 0.10% but achieved a positive return on equity of 5.86%. Year-over-year, revenue showed a growth of 5.4%, although this was a decrease from the $0.28 EPS reported in the same quarter the previous year. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company has set an EPS guidance of $0.78 to $0.80, while analysts predict an EPS of $0.63 for the current fiscal year.

Insider Transactions and Institutional Holdings

In related news, Executive Vice President Steven K. Wilson sold 25,000 shares of Grocery Outlet on November 7, 2023, at an average price of $12.53, totaling $313,250. Following this transaction, Wilson now owns 116,923 shares, valued at approximately $1.47 million, reflecting a 17.62% reduction in his ownership.

Institutional investors continue to hold a significant majority of Grocery Outlet’s stock, owning 99.87% of the company. Recent changes in institutional stakes include Royal Bank of Canada, which increased its position by 5.8% in the first quarter, now holding 122,565 shares valued at around $1.71 million. UBS Asset Management also raised its holdings by 14.1%, acquiring an additional 44,214 shares, bringing its total to 357,856 shares valued at $5 million.

Other notable changes include Creative Planning increasing its stake by 25.4% and JPMorgan Chase & Co. boosting its holdings by 13.8% during the second quarter.

Grocery Outlet operates a retail chain known for offering consumables and fresh products through independently operated stores across the United States. The company provides a variety of products, including dairy, produce, meat, grocery items, and health and beauty care products. As the company navigates its financial landscape, the market will be keenly observing how these developments affect its performance in the coming quarters.